{"id":19370,"date":"2023-06-27T19:48:08","date_gmt":"2023-06-27T17:48:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/?p=19370"},"modified":"2023-06-27T19:48:56","modified_gmt":"2023-06-27T17:48:56","slug":"iranski-najwyzszy-przywodca-ali-chamenei-gdyby-nie-islamska-zasada-i-gdybysmy-mieli-wole-zbudowania-broni-nuklearnej-zrobilibysmy-to-takze-wrogowie-wiedza-ze-nie-moga-nas-powstrz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/iranski-najwyzszy-przywodca-ali-chamenei-gdyby-nie-islamska-zasada-i-gdybysmy-mieli-wole-zbudowania-broni-nuklearnej-zrobilibysmy-to-takze-wrogowie-wiedza-ze-nie-moga-nas-powstrz\/19370","title":{"rendered":"Ira\u0144ski najwy\u017cszy przyw\u00f3dca Ali Chamenei: \u201cGdyby nie islamska zasada i gdyby\u015bmy mieli wol\u0119 zbudowania broni nuklearnej, zrobiliby\u015bmy to \u2013 tak\u017ce wrogowie wiedz\u0105, \u017ce nie mog\u0105 nas powstrzyma\u0107\u201d; MEMRI: Fatwa zakazuj\u0105ca bro\u0144 nuklearn\u0105, kt\u00f3ra jest przypisywana Chameneiemu, nie istnieje"},"content":{"rendered":"

Poni\u017cszy raport jest bezp\u0142atn\u0105 pr\u00f3bk\u0105 projektu MEMRI Iran Threat Monitor Project (\u00a0ITMP\u00a0).\u00a0Aby uzyska\u0107 wi\u0119cej informacji, napisz na\u00a0<\/i><\/b>adres memri@memri.org<\/i><\/b><\/a>\u00a0, podaj\u0105c w temacie\u00a0\u201ePrenumerata\u00a0ITMP\u201d.<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n

W sytuacji doniesie\u0144 o przygotowywanych porozumieniach USA-Iran w celu zamro\u017cenia status quo w sprawie ira\u0144skiego programu nuklearnego \u2013 czyli zgody Zachodu na wzbogacanie uranu przez Iran do 60% i sk\u0142adowanie go w Iranie w zamian za uwolnienie ira\u0144skich aktyw\u00f3w i zniesienie sankcji oraz mo\u017cliwo\u015b\u0107 wymiany wi\u0119\u017ani\u00f3w \u2013 narasta wra\u017cenie, \u017ce Zach\u00f3d wierzy, \u017ce takie porozumienia faktycznie doprowadz\u0105 do zamro\u017cenia status quo i stabilizacji na ira\u0144skiej scenie nuklearnej.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Rzeczywisto\u015b\u0107 jest jednak taka, \u017ce \u200b\u200bIran w \u017caden spos\u00f3b nie wycofuje si\u0119 ze swoich wysi\u0142k\u00f3w na rzecz budowy broni j\u0105drowej, wykorzystuje ka\u017cd\u0105 okazj\u0119 do rozwijania swoich mo\u017cliwo\u015bci technologicznych w tym celu i od lat wprowadza w b\u0142\u0105d spo\u0142eczno\u015b\u0107 mi\u0119dzynarodow\u0105 i k\u0142amie co do swoich zamiar\u00f3w, jednocze\u015bnie szeroko nag\u0142a\u015bniaj\u0105c sw\u00f3j cel, jakim jest legalne osi\u0105gni\u0119cie statusu progu j\u0105drowego, i kontynuuje to do dzi\u015b.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Wynika to jasno z rocznych raport\u00f3w wywiadowczych trzech kraj\u00f3w europejskich, z kt\u00f3rych wynika, \u017ce \u200b\u200belementy ira\u0144skie podejmuj\u0105 wysi\u0142ki w Europie w celu uzyskania w Europie materia\u0142\u00f3w i know-how do atomowej, biologicznej i chemicznej (ABC) broni masowego ra\u017cenia (zob<\/span><\/i>.<\/span><\/i>Iran’s Illicit Procurement Related To Weapons Of Mass Destruction In The Netherlands, Sweden, And Germany During 2022<\/span><\/i>, <\/span><\/i><\/a>opublikowane 21 czerwca 2023 r.).\u00a0Wynika to r\u00f3wnie\u017c z raport\u00f3w Mi\u0119dzynarodowej Agencji Energii Atomowej (MAEA) w latach przed zawarciem umowy nuklearnej JCPOA z 2015 r. i po 2018 r., kiedy prezydent Trump og\u0142osi\u0142, \u017ce USA wycofuj\u0105 si\u0119 z niej w zwi\u0105zku z podejrzan\u0105 ira\u0144sk\u0105 dzia\u0142alno\u015bci\u0105 nuklearn\u0105 i brakiem wsp\u00f3\u0142pracy Iranu z inspektorami MAEA .\u00a0Kolejnymi dowodami s\u0105 ostrze\u017cenia europejskiej trojki \u2013 Wielkiej Brytanii, Francji i Niemiec, czyli E3 \u2013 na posiedzeniu Rady Gubernator\u00f3w MAEA w czerwcu 2023 r., \u017ce dzia\u0142alno\u015b\u0107 Iranu stanowi \u201ewyra\u017ane zagro\u017cenie dla bezpiecze\u0144stwa regionalnego i globalnego\u201d (szczeg\u00f3\u0142y w raporcie).<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

W przem\u00f3wieniu z 11 czerwca 2023 r. ira\u0144ski najwy\u017cszy przyw\u00f3dca Ali Chamenei przemawia\u0142 do przedstawicieli ira\u0144skiego przemys\u0142u nuklearnego na wystawie osi\u0105gni\u0119\u0107 tego przemys\u0142u.\u00a0Powt\u00f3rzy\u0142 twierdzenie, \u017ce \u201eprodukcja broni masowego ra\u017cenia (nuklearnej lub chemicznej) jest sprzeczna z islamem\u201d, ale to s\u0142abe sformu\u0142owanie nie wspomina o fa\u0142szywym twierdzeniu, kt\u00f3re by\u0142o wyg\u0142aszane przez wiele lat przez ira\u0144skich przedstawicieli re\u017cimu \u2013 \u017ce Chamenei wyda\u0142 fatw\u0119 zakazuj\u0105c\u0105 produkcji, posiadania lub u\u017cycia broni j\u0105drowej.\u00a0Chamenei nawet podkre\u015bli\u0142: \u201eGdyby to nie by\u0142a islamska zasada i gdyby\u015bmy mieli wol\u0119 zbudowania broni nuklearnej, zrobiliby\u015bmy to. Nawet wrogowie wiedz\u0105, \u017ce nie mog\u0105 nas powstrzyma\u0107\u201d.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Podobne o\u015bwiadczenia z\u0142o\u017cy\u0142 22 lutego 2021 r., na kr\u00f3tko przed wej\u015bciem w \u017cycie decyzji ira\u0144skiego re\u017cimu o zaprzestaniu wdra\u017cania protoko\u0142u dodatkowego (protok\u00f3\u0142 dodatkowy umo\u017cliwia inspektorom MAEA przeprowadzanie szybkich inspekcji w ira\u0144skich obiektach j\u0105drowych).\u00a0Wyja\u015bni\u0142 w\u00f3wczas, \u017ce je\u015bli re\u017cim ira\u0144ski zdecyduje si\u0119 zdoby\u0107 bro\u0144 nuklearn\u0105, ani Izrael, ani Stany Zjednoczone nie b\u0119d\u0105 w stanie temu zapobiec (patrz MEMRI Inquiry and Analysis No. 1559,\u00a0<\/span><\/i>Iran Uses 'Maximum Pressure’ On Biden Administration \u2013 Part II: Supreme Leader Khamenei: 'If The Islamic Republic [Of Iran] Decided To Obtain Nuclear Weapons, Neither You [The Zionist Clown] Nor Those Greater Than You [The U.S.] Would Be Able To Stop It’<\/span><\/i><\/a>).<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Ponadto, w swoim przem\u00f3wieniu z 11 czerwca Chamenei podkre\u015bli\u0142 znaczenie ira\u0144skiego przemys\u0142u nuklearnego \u2013 kt\u00f3ry, jak twierdzi Iran, jest ca\u0142kowicie po\u015bwi\u0119cony cywilnym celom nuklearnym \u2013 jako fundamentalnego elementu \u201esi\u0142y i presti\u017cu Iranu\u201d.\u00a0Nie ulega w\u0105tpliwo\u015bci, \u017ce to niecodzienne sformu\u0142owanie odnosi\u0142o si\u0119 do sta\u0142ych post\u0119p\u00f3w Iranu w kierunku broni j\u0105drowej \u2013 a nie np. produkcji energii elektrycznej czy lek\u00f3w.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Nale\u017cy zauwa\u017cy\u0107, \u017ce w tych o\u015bwiadczeniach dotycz\u0105cych kwestii nuklearnej skierowanych do przedstawicieli przemys\u0142u, Chamenei nie wspomnia\u0142 o twierdzeniu cz\u0119sto powtarzanym przez przedstawicieli re\u017cimu, \u017ce wyda\u0142 fatw\u0119 zakazuj\u0105c\u0105 broni nuklearnej.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Poni\u017cej znajduj\u0105 si\u0119 fragmenty przem\u00f3wienia Chameneiego z 11 czerwca 2023 r., z MEMRI Daily Brief „Khamenei’s 'Nuclear Fatwa,’ Once Again,” oraz ostrze\u017cenia MAEA i E3 o dzia\u0142alno\u015bci nuklearnej Iranu odpowiednio w maju i czerwcu 2023 r.\u00a0Aneks zawiera list\u0119 wszystkich raport\u00f3w MEMRI na temat nieistniej\u0105cej fatwy Chameneiego.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

[Dalszy tekst nie jest spolszczony]<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n

Khamenei: „The Nuclear Industry Is One Of The Fundamental Elements Of Iran’s Strength And Prestige”<\/b><\/p>\n

The following are highlights of Khamenei’s June 11, 2023 speech on nuclear weapons:<\/span><\/p>\n

„The transformation of [Iran’s] nuclear industry into one based on domestic production is very important, and teaches us about the failure of the West… The nuclear industry is one of the fundamental elements of Iran’s strength and prestige… The West’s claim regarding [its] 'fear of the production of nuclear weapons [in Iran]’ is a false one. They themselves know that we are not pursuing nuclear weapons, since the American intelligence community has repeatedly acknowledged the fact, including in recent months, that there is no sign of an Iranian move towards building a nuclear weapon.<\/span><\/p>\n

„If it were not an Islamic principle, and if we had the will to build nuclear weapons, we would do so. Even the enemies know that they cannot stop us. Producing weapons of mass destruction (whether nuclear or chemical) is against Islam.”<\/span>[1]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

MEMRI Report „Khamenei’s 'Nuclear Fatwa’ Once Again” Reiterates, As Do Many Other MEMRI Reports, That This Fatwa Does Not Exist<\/b><\/p>\n

It should be emphasized yet again that Khamenei’s fatwa banning nuclear weapons that regime officials have repeatedly cited was never published and does not exist. Even the 2022 book by Professor Seyed Hossein Mousavian of Princeton University and Dr. Shameer Modongal of Kerala University \u2013\u00a0<\/span>Religion and Nuclear Weapons, A Study of Islamic Republic of Iran and Pakistan<\/span><\/i>\u00a0 (Vij Books India Pvt Ltd, 2022, 120 pp.), presents no evidence as to its existence. MEMRI Daily Brief No. 433,\u00a0<\/span>Khamenei’s „Nuclear Fatwa,” Once Again<\/span><\/a>, published November 29, 2022, analyzes in detail how the Iranian leadership is using the false claim of a fatwa attributed to Khamenei.<\/span><\/p>\n

The fact is that no declaration by Khamenei against possessing nuclear weapons was published on either of his two official fatwa websites. Furthermore, Khamenei even ruled, as part of his jurisdiction, on March 15, 2012 in response to a question that had been submitted via Facebook concerning whether it is permitted to possess nuclear weapons, in light of his alleged declaration that this is forbidden. He ruled: „Your letter has no jurisprudential aspect. When it has a jurisprudential position, then it will be possible to answer it.” He concluded the exchange with a statement in the official structure of a fatwa: „No answer was given.”<\/span><\/p>\n

Furthermore, in his Persian New Year address on March 20, 2011, he mocked then-Libyan leader Muammar Qadhafi for handing over his nuclear installations to the U.S.: „This gentleman wrapped up all his nuclear facilities, packed them on a ship, and delivered them to the West and said, 'Take them!’ Look in what position our nation is, and in what position they [the Libyans] are now.”<\/span><\/p>\n

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The MEMRI Daily Brief\u00a0<\/span>Khamenei’s „Nuclear Fatwa,” Once Again<\/span><\/a>\u00a0reviews statements by Iranian regime officials on Iran’s need for nuclear weapons, and discusses the false fatwa and its source.<\/span><\/p>\n

In this context, see:<\/span><\/p>\n

MEMRI Special Dispatch No. 9938,\u00a0<\/span>Fatwa By Iranian Grand Ayatollah: There Is No Ban On Acquiring Knowledge And Practical Capability To Produce A Nuclear Bomb; Iranian Politician: „When We Began Our Nuclear Activity, Our Goal Was Indeed To Build A Bomb<\/span><\/a>,” April 29, 2022<\/span><\/p>\n

MEMRI \u00a0Inquiry and Analysis No. 1518,\u00a0<\/span>The Iran-U.S. Conflict: Iran Is Working On Obtaining Strategic Capability \u2013 Long-Range Missiles And Nuclear Submarines<\/span><\/a>, June 26, 2020.<\/span><\/p>\n

See also the\u00a0<\/span>Appendix<\/b>\u00a0for a list of MEMRI reports on the nonexistent nuclear fatwa. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

May 2023: IAEA Issues Warning About Iran’s Nuclear Activity<\/b><\/p>\n

Reports by the IAEA, the body authorized to oversee Iran’s nuclear activity, have warned that Iran is very close to developing nuclear weapons. The IAEA Board Of Governors stated on May 31, 2023 that Iran is violating the conditions of the JCPOA deal, enriching uranium to 60% \u2013 far exceeding the permitted 3.75% \u00a0\u2013 as well as stockpiling enriched uranium in quantities greater than allowed \u2013 4.7 metric tons instead of the permitted 300 kg enriched to 5% only. Iran, which to date has 114 kg of 60% uranium\u00a0 (which has no civilian use) is obstructing IAEA inspectors at its facilities and has for years been accused of ongoing failure to cooperate with the agency. The IAEA noted in its May 31, 2023 report that as of „the meeting of the Board of Governors in June 2022, the Agency was still seeking explanations from Iran” regarding disputes over two nuclear facilities and the installation of monitoring measures at the facilities.<\/span>[2]<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

June 2023: E3 Warns At Board of Governors Meeting: „[Iran’s] Activities Show That Iran Has Built Capabilities Suitable For Enrichment For Nuclear Weapons Purposes”<\/b><\/p>\n

The E3 issued a joint warning at the June 6, 2023 meeting of the IAEA’s Board of Governors concerning Iran’s activities, which it called „a clear threat to regional and global security.” The following are excerpts from the warning:<\/span><\/p>\n

„Iran has unabatedly continued escalating its nuclear programme beyond civilian justification, and has displayed little will to implement the transparency commitments laid out in the Joint Statement agreed last March.<\/span><\/p>\n

„First, on the state of the nuclear programme, the Director General’s report shows Iran continues down its path of significant nuclear escalation…\u00a0<\/span>All of us on this Board must see this as a major expansion of Iran\u2019s nuclear programme, raising serious questions about the intent of its activities.”<\/span><\/p>\n

The\u00a0<\/span>E3 also warned about Iran’s continued production of uranium metal:<\/span><\/p>\n

„The detection last January of uranium particles enriched to 83.7% U-235 highlights the seriousness of Iran\u2019s continuing escalation. This enrichment was grossly inconsistent with the level declared by Iran and constituted an unprecedented and extremely grave development, for which there is no credible civilian justification.<\/span><\/p>\n

„While the Director General reports that the information provided was 'not inconsistent’ with Iran’s explanations, the significance of the detection of undeclared changes made to the cascade configuration at Fordow should be fully understood:”<\/span><\/p>\n

„First, this step, along with Iran\u2019s wider nuclear programme, brought Iran dangerously close to actual weapons-related activities. Second, Iran is still using a configuration which can enable the production of high enriched material at levels considerably over 60%, showing Iran\u2019s disregard for the gravity of this development.<\/span><\/p>\n

„The circumstances of its discovery through an unannounced inspection, as well as the large-scale accumulation of highly enriched [60%] uranium, continue to ring alarm bells. These actions show Iran has built capabilities suitable for enrichment for nuclear weapons purposes. It is the responsibility of the international community, and particularly of this Board, to call upon Iran not to engage in enrichment activities that raise serious questions about its intent, particularly given Iran\u2019s historical track record.<\/span><\/p>\n

„Such overall escalation comes at a point when the Agency has been without access to data on centrifuge and component manufacturing for more than two years. As reiterated in the report, Iran\u2019s decision to stop cooperating with the monitoring and verification activities agreed in the JCPOA means the Agency would no longer be able to re-establish continuity of knowledge even in the event of a full JCPOA resumption. Iran’s decision to remove Agency surveillance and monitoring equipment has had detrimental implications for the Agency\u2019s ability to provide assurance of the peaceful nature of Iran\u2019s nuclear programme.<\/span><\/p>\n

„We urge Iran to re-install all equipment in all the locations deemed necessary by the IAEA, and to provide all the footage from the cameras, including data recorded from February 2021 to June 2022. This should be done without delay. We also recall that, under its Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement, Iran is legally obliged to implement Modified Code 3.1. and cannot change its application or withdraw from it unilaterally.<\/span><\/p>\n

„We deeply regret that Iran did not accept the fair and balanced deal that the JCPOA Coordinator tabled almost a year ago, and instead chose to accelerate its programme. Iran bears full responsibility for this situation. We urge Iran to immediately stop and reverse its nuclear escalation, and allow for complete transparency with the IAEA by re-applying the Additional Protocol…”<\/span>[3]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

*A. Savyon is Director of the MEMRI Iran Media Project.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Appendix: MEMRI Reports On Khamenei’s Nonexistent Nuclear Fatwa<\/b><\/p>\n

The following are MEMRI reports on the issue of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s fatwa banning nuclear weapons \u2013 which does not exist:<\/span><\/p>\n