{"id":12047,"date":"2019-01-30T21:27:34","date_gmt":"2019-01-30T20:27:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/?p=12047"},"modified":"2019-01-30T21:27:34","modified_gmt":"2019-01-30T20:27:34","slug":"znaczenie-iraku-dla-przetrwania-rezimu-i-gospodarki-iranu-w-nastepstwie-sankcji-usa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/znaczenie-iraku-dla-przetrwania-rezimu-i-gospodarki-iranu-w-nastepstwie-sankcji-usa\/12047","title":{"rendered":"Znaczenie Iraku dla przetrwania re\u017cimu i gospodarki Iranu w nast\u0119pstwie sankcji USA"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Wprowadzenie<\/p>\n<p>W miar\u0119 jak narasta wp\u0142yw sankcji USA na gospodark\u0119 Iranu, po tym jak nawet kraje, kt\u00f3re sprzeciwiaj\u0105 si\u0119 polityce Iranu, podporz\u0105dkowuj\u0105 si\u0119 im, znaczenie Iraku\u00a0 dla przetrwania re\u017cimu i gospodarki Iranu tak\u017ce wzrasta.<\/p>\n<p>Podkre\u015blaj\u0105c znaczenie Iraku dla Iranu, Sadollah Zarei, kt\u00f3ry jest w zarz\u0105dzie redakcyjnym gazety re\u017cimu \u201eKayhan\u201d, napisa\u0142 w artykule z 23 stycznia 2019 r.: &#8222;Ameryka wyobra\u017ca sobie, \u017ce os\u0142abi rz\u0105d w Iraku, a szczeg\u00f3lnie sytuacj\u0119 [irackiego premiera] Adila Abdul-Mahdiego, militarnym naciskiem w p\u00f3\u0142nocnym i po\u0142udniowym Iraku do punktu, w kt\u00f3rym [Irak] nie b\u0119dzie w stanie unie\u015b\u0107 ci\u0119\u017caru gor\u0105cych i rozleg\u0142ych\u00a0 stodunk\u00f3w Bagdad-Teheran. Z drugiej strony, [USA] stworz\u0105 [tak\u017ce] niepewno\u015b\u0107 dla ira\u0144skiego re\u017cimu w dw\u00f3ch obszarach ira\u0144skich inwestycji. Ameryka wie, \u017ce Iran dokona\u0142 wa\u017cnych inwestycji w ci\u0105gu ostatnich 15 lat w prowincjach [Iraku] Sulajmanija, Erbil, Basra, Nasirija i innych i \u017ce [Iran] sta\u0142 si\u0119 wa\u017cnym partnerem Iraku, szczeg\u00f3lnie w sektorze energetycznym.<\/p>\n<p>Z punktu widzenia Amerykan\u00f3w, je\u015bli Iran osi\u0105gnie porozumienie energetyczne z cho\u0107by jednym lub dwoma swoimi s\u0105siadami, ameryka\u0144skie sankcje nie b\u0119d\u0105 w stanie zablokowa\u0107 tras [eksportu] energii Iranu. Dlatego zerwanie stosunk\u00f3w Iraku z Iranem jest strategiczn\u0105 potrzeb\u0105 Waszyngtonu&#8221;<a name=\"_ednref1\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.memri.org\/reports\/iraqs-importance-survival-irans-regime-and-economy-following-us-sanctions#_edn1\">[1]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Wydaje si\u0119, \u017ce re\u017cim ira\u0144ski idzie t\u0105 drog\u0105, poniewa\u017c ira\u0144ska hegemonia nad Irakiem pozwoli Iranowi na eksport ropy naftowej przez Irak i zdobywanie w zamian towar\u00f3w, bez potrzeby bank\u00f3w lub dolar\u00f3w \u2013 obchodz\u0105c w ten spos\u00f3b sankcje USA. Dzi\u0119ki temu re\u017cim Iranu mo\u017ce nadal istnie\u0107 i mo\u017ce kontynuowa\u0107 ekspansj\u0119 w regionie. To jest kontekst, w jakim trzeba rozumie\u0107 niedawn\u0105 specjaln\u0105 wizyt\u0119 ira\u0144skiego ministra spraw zagranicznych w Iraku.<\/p>\n<p>Wci\u0105gni\u0119cie Iraku do kierowanej przez Iran szyickiej osi oporu jest wa\u017cnym politycznym i ekonomicznym celem re\u017cimu ira\u0144skiego, jak zauwa\u017cy\u0142 Sajed Hadi Afachi, ira\u0144ski ekspert ds. regionu, kt\u00f3ry pisze komentarze i analizy wydarze\u0144 dla stron internetowych identyfikowanych z Korpusem Stra\u017cnik\u00f3w Rewolucji Islamskiej (IRGC). W wywiadzie z 18 stycznia 2019 \u00a0r. dla agencji informacyjnej Mehr, Afachi analizowa\u0142 iracka wizyt\u0119 Zarifa i powiedzia\u0142: &#8222;Irak jest uwa\u017cany za bardzo wa\u017cny kraj dla Iranu pod wieloma wzgl\u0119dami i mo\u017ce wzmocni\u0107 front oporu w tym regionie. Dlatego jeste\u015bmy tacy wra\u017cliwi na Irak i dlatego nie wolno nam pozwoli\u0107, by kontrola tego kraju by\u0142a w r\u0119kach Ameryki, re\u017cimu syjonistycznego i pewnych reakcyjnych\u00a0 [pa\u0144stw] arabskich w regionie [aluzja do Arabii Saudyjskiej]. Niestety, nasza dzia\u0142alno\u015b\u0107 gospodarcza w Iraku jest s\u0142aba, ale doradcza dzia\u0142alno\u015b\u0107 Iranu [w ramach kt\u00f3rej] pospieszyli\u015bmy z pomoc\u0105 irackim si\u0142om militarnym, \u017ceby mog\u0142y walczy\u0107 z terrorystami w czasie, kiedy by\u0142a obecno\u015b\u0107 grup terrorystycznych na ziemi irackiej, by\u0142a pozytywna. W celu ustanowienia strategicznych porozumie\u0144 handlowych z Irakiem, musimy najpierw przygotowa\u0107 strategiczny plan i dokument. Iran powinien by\u0107 [krajem, kt\u00f3ry jest] co najmniej drugi po Rosji w odbudowywaniu Syrii, szczeg\u00f3lnie w \u015bwietle obecnej sytuacji Iraku, kiedy post\u0119puje z w\u0142asn\u0105 rehabilitacj\u0105 ku stabilno\u015bci i bezpiecze\u0144stwu. Dla nas jednak Irak jest [jeszcze] wa\u017cniejszy ni\u017c Syria, a to z powodu d\u0142ugiej granicy ira\u0144sko-irackiej&#8221;<a name=\"_ednref2\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.memri.org\/reports\/iraqs-importance-survival-irans-regime-and-economy-following-us-sanctions#_edn2\">[2]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif To Islamic Resistance Groups In Iraq: The American Era Is Over; &#8222;We Are Enamored Of Iraq&#8217;s Rehabilitation; As We Fought Alongside Al-Hashd Al-Sha&#8217;bi And The Iraqi Armed Forces, So Are We Willing To Participate In Rebuilding Iraq&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On January 13, 2019, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif arrived in Iraq at the head of a large political and economic delegation for a five-day visit, a few days after a visit there by U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. During his visit, Zarif met with Iraqi officials from the political, economic, and religious sectors, including Shi&#8217;ites, Sunnis, Kurds, Turkmens, and others. The meetings took place in the capital Baghdad, in the Kurdish cities of Erbil and Sulaymaniyah in northern Iraq, and in the Shi&#8217;ite cities of Najaf and Karbala in the south. The aim of the visit, according to the Iranian news agencies Mehr and Tasnim, was, inter alia, to discuss Iranian investments in Iraq, Iran&#8217;s participation in rebuilding Iraq, and strengthening Iran-Iraq economic cooperation, in light of Iran&#8217;s increasing economic difficulties due in particular to the U.S. sanctions against it.<a name=\"_ednref3\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.memri.org\/reports\/iraqs-importance-survival-irans-regime-and-economy-following-us-sanctions#_edn3\">[3]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>On January 16, in a speech to representatives of Islamic resistance groups in Karbala, Zarif underlined the Iran-Iraq partnership as well as the anti-U.S. and anti-West Iranian revolutionary Islamic ideology that he said Iraq too should take upon itself in order for it to rebuild itself economically and politically.<\/p>\n<p>In statements in Karbala to representatives of resistance groups, Zarif, who is perceived by the West as a moderate figure in the Iranian regime along with President Hassan Rohani, underlined how very important Iran considers exporting the Islamic revolution to Iraq, harnessing Iraq&#8217;s economy for the needs of Iran&#8217;s struggling economy, and expanding Iran&#8217;s political influence in the region. He acknowledged that Iranian forces had fought alongside the pro-Iran Iraqi militias against the Islamic State (ISIS) despite Iranian regime officials&#8217; vehement denials that Iranian fighters were involved in fighting in other countries and their claims that only Iranian advisors were in those countries. Another important element of his statements was the common struggle against those he perceives as the enemies of Islam \u2013 the U.S. and the West.<\/p>\n<p>The following are Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif&#8217;s statements in Karbala to representatives of resistance groups:<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;What took place in Iraq in the last three or four years is another sign that if we rely on God, and on our capability, there is a possibility that, under the direction of a first-degree cleric [a reference to Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei], we can overcome every problem. The secret of America&#8217;s pressure on Iran and Iraq in this era is that we and you are acting on this fact, and America greatly fears this and our internalization of it.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;Everyone has perhaps heard of the well-known story of the naked emperor. This emperor had no clothes on, and everyone told [him], despite reality, that he was dressed. The emperor accepted this, contrary to reality, until one day a little boy told him that he was naked.\u00a0<em>\u00a0<\/em>This truth shook the pillars of heaven&#8230; America wants us to believe that the emperor is clothed even though he is in fact naked, and when someone utters the truth, [America] pressures him so that he ends up agreeing that the emperor is indeed not naked.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;The truth is that the era in which America sat in God&#8217;s place is over. But few dare to talk about this or to act on it. As long as no one dares to speak out against this, America can control the world without using any force at all, because this method is the cheapest for it. But if someone in this era wants to challenge this illusion, he will be pressured until he accepts America&#8217;s might and false control.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;American President [Trump] said that [the U.S.] has spent $7 trillion in Iraq with no achievements. In the end, he was forced to arrive at and leave the American air force base in the dead of night. His friends had to turn around when they were only half way to Iraq. All this is evidence of the real [state] of America.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-12048\" src=\"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434.jpg\" width=\"662\" height=\"461\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434.jpg 662w, https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434-300x209.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434-600x418.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434-100x70.jpg 100w, https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434-603x420.jpg 603w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 662px) 100vw, 662px\" \/><em>Zarif. Source: Tasnim, Iran, January 16, 2018.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&#8222;Our transgression, and yours \u2013 the Iraqi nation&#8217;s \u2013 is that we are saying that the emperor is naked. We must be prepared to come under pressure for uttering this truth. Whatever the pressure may be, it will not change the truth.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;The Americans claim that they defeated ISIS. But we know, and you know, that they never fought to vanquish anyone, and that if America ever did anything in that war, it either helped ISIS or transferred the ISIS men, after they were defeated in Iraq and Syria, to Afghanistan&#8230; Therefore, we and you are under pressure to say the opposite of the truth \u2013 that the emperor is not naked, or that we think he is clothed \u2013 [but] if we [actually] believe this, we will also have to obey America. My dears, the truth is that America&#8217;s time is over. This does not mean that America will fall, but that it will no longer be able to lead the world.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;My dears! We must see the reality as it is so that we can act on it. Perhaps a century ago all the important events in the world took place in the West; perhaps 20 years ago, the West led or directed everything that happened. But today everything that happens certainly does not happen in the West, and is not directed by it. The obvious example of this is that the American and Russian foreign ministers both announced, in September 2016, a ceasefire in Syria, but two weeks later, the fighting in Syria began again. That is, not everything that America and Russia decide actually takes place. Three months later, Iran, Russia, and Turkey decided that there would be a ceasefire in Syria, and for two years there has been a ceasefire in Syria.<a name=\"_ednref4\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.memri.org\/reports\/iraqs-importance-survival-irans-regime-and-economy-following-us-sanctions#_edn4\">[4]<\/a>\u00a0America is pressuring the UN to declare that the Astana process has failed, because this process reveals that the emperor is naked.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;We, before anyone else, must accept and internalize the truth that America is no longer a superpower that can control [others]. As of today, there is only one superpower in the world, and that is God and those who believe in Him.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;This, today, is the truth in the world. Three years ago, I wrote, as a university lecturer, a book titled\u00a0<em>Transition in International Relations of the Post-Western World<\/em>. The claim [made in the title] is not mere words, but is scientific reality. In fact, you, the Iraqi people, have proven that it is not America that vanquished ISIS<em>,\u00a0<\/em>but [the pro-Iran Iraqi Shi&#8217;ite militia] Al-Hashd Al-Sha&#8217;bi,\u00a0the resistance groups, and the Iraqi armed forces. It is funny that they\u00a0say that America defeated ISIS with [only] 20 [bombing] sorties. The truth is that the regime of America today is a regime that exists [only] in the mind \u00a0\u2013 that is, the world thinks that America still has the glory and the rule. The same truth applies to industry and economy. Where is the world that America rebuilt after World War II, besides Europe? And now it wants to rebuild Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;Any American or even European company that wants to come to Iraq will spend more on security than it will on the [rehabilitation] project. But any Iranian company that wants to work in Iraq will not only see its maximum outlay fall,<em>\u00a0<\/em>but it will be working out of love for the Imam Hossein.<a name=\"_ednref5\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.memri.org\/reports\/iraqs-importance-survival-irans-regime-and-economy-following-us-sanctions#_edn5\">[5]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8222;We are enamored of Iraq&#8217;s rehabilitation. As we fought alongside Al-Hashd Al-Shabi and the Iraqi armed forces, so are we willing to participate in rebuilding Iraq. The truth is that Iraq&#8217;s entire upper echelon is committed to expanding [Iraq-]Iran cooperation, [and therefore] the minor officials in Iraq\u00a0must internalize this truth. Our problem in Iraq is that the upper echelon has a good grasp of reality, but in the middle and lower ranks, fear of America&#8217;s might creates problems for developing [Iran-Iraq] relations.&#8221;<a name=\"_ednref6\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.memri.org\/reports\/iraqs-importance-survival-irans-regime-and-economy-following-us-sanctions#_edn6\">[6]<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-12049\" src=\"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434a.jpg\" width=\"800\" height=\"557\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434a.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434a-300x209.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434a-768x535.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434a-600x418.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434a-100x70.jpg 100w, https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434a-696x485.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/ia1434a-603x420.jpg 603w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><em>Zarif is received in Erbil by Iraqi Kurdistan (KRG) Prime Minister Nechirvan Barzani. <\/em><em>Source: Tasnimnews.com, January 15, 2019.<\/em><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><a name=\"_edn1\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.memri.org\/reports\/iraqs-importance-survival-irans-regime-and-economy-following-us-sanctions#_ednref1\">[1]<\/a>\u00a0<em>Kayhan<\/em>\u00a0(Iran), January 23, 2019.<\/p>\n<p><a name=\"_edn2\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.memri.org\/reports\/iraqs-importance-survival-irans-regime-and-economy-following-us-sanctions#_ednref2\">[2]<\/a>\u00a0Mehrnews.com, January 18, 2019.<\/p>\n<p><a name=\"_edn3\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.memri.org\/reports\/iraqs-importance-survival-irans-regime-and-economy-following-us-sanctions#_ednref3\">[3]<\/a>\u00a0Mehrnews.com, January 15, 2019; Tasnimnews.com, January 17, 2019.<\/p>\n<p><a name=\"_edn4\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.memri.org\/reports\/iraqs-importance-survival-irans-regime-and-economy-following-us-sanctions#_ednref4\">[4]<\/a>\u00a0In fact, there has been no ceasefire in Syria since Syrian, Iranian, and Russian forces violated it, and battles are continuing.<\/p>\n<p><a name=\"_edn5\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.memri.org\/reports\/iraqs-importance-survival-irans-regime-and-economy-following-us-sanctions#_ednref5\">[5]<\/a>\u00a0The Imam Hossein, grandson of the Prophet Muhammad, the third imam in Twelver Shi&#8217;a and the founder of the Shi&#8217;a. He was murdered at the Battle of Karbala, circa 680 CE, by followers of Yazid bin Mu&#8217;awiya, founder of the Sunna.<\/p>\n<p><a name=\"_edn6\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.memri.org\/reports\/iraqs-importance-survival-irans-regime-and-economy-following-us-sanctions#_ednref6\">[6]<\/a>\u00a0Tasnimnews.com, January 16, 2019.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wprowadzenie W miar\u0119 jak narasta wp\u0142yw sankcji USA na gospodark\u0119 Iranu, po tym jak nawet kraje, kt\u00f3re sprzeciwiaj\u0105 si\u0119 polityce Iranu, podporz\u0105dkowuj\u0105 si\u0119 im, znaczenie Iraku\u00a0 dla przetrwania re\u017cimu i gospodarki Iranu tak\u017ce wzrasta. Podkre\u015blaj\u0105c znaczenie Iraku dla Iranu, Sadollah Zarei, kt\u00f3ry jest w zarz\u0105dzie redakcyjnym gazety re\u017cimu \u201eKayhan\u201d, napisa\u0142 w artykule z 23 stycznia [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12048,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[827,829,833,834,835,836,837],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12047","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iran","category-usa-i-bliski-wschod","category-badania-i-analizy","category-irak","category-archiwum","category-tematy","category-kraje"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12047","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12047"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12047\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12050,"href":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12047\/revisions\/12050"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12048"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12047"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12047"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www2.memri.org\/polish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12047"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}